IN REVERSAL, SCHWARZNEGGER PROPOSES MINIMUM WAGE HIKE
Governor Schwarzenegger has changed his mind and decided to raise the minimum wage by a dollar over a year and a half. He'll announce it on Thursday in his State of the State address. Democratic legislators were quick to decry the move as politically motivated and not enough.
They're right in both cases. Schwarzenegger's approval ratings are down and he's been trying to look more like a Democrat ever since the special election debacle. When he hired state Democratic leader Susan Kennedy as his chief of staff, I wrote that a smarter move would have been to sign the minimum wage bill. Although he's vetoed two bills that would have raised hourly pay for our poorest citizens, Schwarzenegger has now decided that a less ambitious hike is the way to go.
Fabian Nuñez, who's just doing his job, told the LA Times that Arnold's olive branch, "doesn't make up for the ground that some of the state's hardest workers lost when the governor vetoed two previous attempts to raise the minimum wage."
Even a minimum wage that keeps pace with inflation, as Washington and Oregon have enacted, doesn't mean that workers will be able to afford the increase in cost of living. It also won't keep them above the poverty level if they have a kid.
But statewide worker's rights are hard to win. To get any increase under a Republican governor is pretty damn good. Democrats should look at this as a reward for all the hard work this year and they should take it and run with it. As quickly as possible.
Calling the governor's move a political tactic, true as it may be, is a political tactic. As long as the plan doesn't limit further increases, it's better than waiting a year. Perhaps lawmakers think that this is a slick move by a governor who doesn't actually feel, in his heart, that 2 million workers deserve the raise. If that's the case, then fighting him on it is just as sleazy as his proposing it.
Nuñez, et. al. should pick up their chips now and move to the next table. It's a long way to November and there's always time to call Arnold a flip-flopper.
But wait. Is this really a flip-flop? The governor has sworn in the past that he actually wants to increase the minimum wage. Democrats have said he has yet to put a serious measure on the table. Here's what the Times said:
"This year, Schwarzenegger vetoed a proposed $1 increase because it included a provision linking hourly wages with the previous year's inflation rate. The governor said the Legislature should not sidestep its own duty to set the minimum wage based on a host of economic factors, not just the inflation rate."
This suggests that he might be open to tying the rate to other cost of living indicators like the prevailing wage or the cost of food. More likely, he's referring to business factors or the state's economy. He could be saying that the minimum wage should actually decrease under some circumstances. Back in 2004 he vetoed another bill that would have raised it without tying it to inflation.
Regardless of what he feels in his heart, the Schwarzenegger proposal will raise the rate by a dollar. It would not be tied to inflation, or anything else. Even giving him the benefit of the doubt, this idea is inconsistent with his his earlier statements. Even if Arnold's not a flip-flopper on raising minimum pay by a dollar an hour, he's ignored his own principle of tying such increases to economic indices.
Is that distinction going to play in the campaigns? No. If Democrats try to get an even better deal for workers, it will only keep this in the news. That can only be to Arnold's advantage. He's already burned the bridge with organized labor, and fighting an increase that can actually pass could undermine union leadership.
Democratic lawmakers should take the win, ignore the politics, and pass the bill.
My 12/7/05 message to Arnold:
http://hollywood-liberal.blogspot.com/2005/12/2006-primary-conan-vs.html
2005 federal poverty levels:
http://aspe.hhs.gov/poverty/05poverty.shtml
The LA Times article:
http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/front/la-me-state31dec31,1,3306957.story?coll=la-headlines-frontpage
And one from the Bee:
http://www.sacbee.com/content/politics/story/14028525p-14860715c.html

